The International Energy Agency (IEA) stated in a report that any disruption to transit flows in the Strait of Hormuz (SoH) would have significant consequences for global oil and LNG markets. The report, issued in December 2023, notes that prolonged disruption will trigger a sharp surge in oil prices and lead to swift, widespread supply shortages. Moreover, worldwide LNG supply could fall by approximately 295 mmcm/d.
SoH is a narrow, strategically vital waterway located between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, separating Iran to the north and Oman and the UAE to the south. It serves as a crucial route linking oil and gas producers in the Middle East Gulf with global export markets.